TY JOUR TI YIELD OF MAIN AGRICULTURAL CROPS IN THE PENZA REGION: ANALYSIS OF PREDICTORS AND MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST KW crop yield prediction KW medium-term forecast KW Penza region KW machine learning KW Ridge regression KW agrometeorological predictors KW NDVI KW MAPE KW bootstrap validation JO MOSCOW ECONOMIC JOURNAL AU Dubinin, A.V. AU Tishin, M.E. AU Fedotova, M.Y. PY 2026 IS 11 PB Electronic science